Predicting the effect of aggregate growth on poverty can be done through a procedure where the change in poverty can be decomposed between the change related to the uniform growth of income and the change that of relative incomes. Two softwares are based on this idea. SimSIP-Poverty can be useful to analysts who do not have access to the unit level records of household surveys, but do have at their disposal a population breakdwon by level of income. PovStat uses country -specific household survey data and a set of user-supplied projection parameters for that country.
Bibliography: From "Techniques and Tools for Evaluating the Poverty Impact of Economic Policies." Preliminary draft. Not to be quoted.
